Prediction of Pedro Vives Marcos vs Ivan Gakhov at M25 Zaragoza 10-04-25

• In recent performance, Ivan Gakhov stands out slightly by winning 45.27% of points on his second serve, compared to Pedro Vives Marcos’ 43.47%.
• Return game analysis shows Ivan Gakhov captures a small edge, as he has won 48.14% of his opponent’s second serve points, compared to Pedro's 47.77%.
• First serve return performance also favors Ivan with a 26.10% success rate against Pedro’s 25.58%.
• When facing breakpoints, Ivan Gakhov excels by saving 56.36% of them compared to Pedro's 50.93%—a potential advantage in pressure moments.
• Pedro Vives Marcos enjoys a higher overall match win rate over the past year, boasting 77.42% compared to Ivan Gakhov's 60.49%.
• Regarding surface preference, both players excel on Clay, recording similar success rates at 61%.
• Considering the tournament level, Pedro’s performance has been primarily excellent at Futures/Satellites, while Ivan has focused more on Challengers, with relative success rates.
• In their direct matchup, Pedro Vives Marcos is 1-0 against Ivan Gakhov, winning convincingly in their last clash on Clay.
• Pedro's opponents have an average rank of 467.26, while Ivan has faced tougher competition, averaging ranks at 337.52.
• If the match extends into a deciding set, Ivan Gakhov might have a slight edge, having won 58% of such sets compared to Pedro’s 50%.

Editorial Prediction (October 4, 2025, UTC):

This highly anticipated match between Pedro Vives Marcos and Ivan Gakhov showcases a blend of strengths and distinct performance patterns. On second serve performance and return game efficiency, Ivan Gakhov has exhibited a slight statistical advantage.

While Pedro Vives Marcos shines with a better overall win rate in the past year, his match experience has predominantly been at Futures/Satellites level. On the contrary, Ivan continues to face opponents of higher average rank, which enhances his competitive experience at more challenging levels.

Their prior head-to-head, won by Pedro on Clay, remains a confidence boost for him. Nevertheless, Ivan's higher breakpoint-saving ability and better performance on tougher matches could provide an unexpected edge.

Considering all factors, Ivan Gakhov appears to have the statistical advantage, making him the likely victor in the upcoming encounter.